Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-12-20
Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax
Home
26%
3.86 fair
Draw
22%
4.63 fair
Away
53%
1.9 fair
Expected Goals3.35
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.565%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
27.6%
→
25.9%
-1.7 pp
Draw
22.0%
→
21.6%
-0.4 pp
Away
50.4%
→
52.5%
+2.1 pp
Over 2.5
66.7%
→
64.9%
-1.8 pp
Both teams to score
66.3%
→
64.1%
-2.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.43 →
3.35
-0.08
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.63 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 15.8% | 6.31 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.53 | — |
Both halves
| 5.0% | 20.0 | — |
HT/FT
| 10.9% | 9.21 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.26 | — | |||
| 11.2% | 8.94 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.81 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.41 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.11 | — | |||
| 7.1% | 14.03 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — |
Total goals
| 96.4% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.7% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.53 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — |
1st-half goals
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — |
Home team goals
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — |
Away team goals
| 86.3% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — |
Both to score
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — |
Corners
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — |
Home corners
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — |
Away corners
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — |
Cards
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.8 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 87.2% | 1.15 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds