Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-12-20

Nijmegen – Den Haag

Home 63% 1.59 fair
Draw 19% 5.31 fair
Away 18% 5.51 fair
Expected Goals3.44
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.567%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 65.4% → 63.0% -2.4 pp
Draw 18.3% → 18.9% +0.6 pp
Away 16.3% → 18.2% +1.9 pp
Over 2.5 67.6% → 66.6% -0.9 pp
Both teams to score 60.6% → 61.0% +0.4 pp
Expected Goals 3.49 → 3.44 -0.05
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.44
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.25 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.85 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

63.0% 1.59 —
18.9% 5.31 —
18.2% 5.51 —
81.8% 1.22 —
37.0% 2.7 —
81.2% 1.23 —

Half-time result

49.8% 2.01 —
37.2% 2.69 —
13.0% 7.69 —

Half-time double chance

87.0% 1.15 —
50.2% 1.99 —
62.8% 1.59 —

Both halves

24.5% 4.08 —

HT/FT

41.9% 2.39 —
5.5% 18.05 —
18.4% 5.42 —
10.3% 9.69 —
8.4% 11.92 —
7.3% 13.62 —

HT/FT double chance

76.2% 1.31 —
71.1% 1.41 —
26.7% 3.75 —
53.1% 1.88 —
54.3% 1.84 —
18.3% 5.46 —
34.4% 2.9 —
36.9% 2.71 —
29.0% 3.44 —

Total goals

96.8% 1.03 —
85.1% 1.18 —
66.6% 1.5 —
44.7% 2.24 —
14.9% 6.7 —
33.4% 3.0 —
55.3% 1.81 —

1st-half goals

72.3% 1.38 —
37.0% 2.7 —

Home team goals

89.6% 1.12 —
66.2% 1.51 —

Away team goals

68.2% 1.47 —
32.0% 3.12 —

Both to score

61.0% 1.64 —

Corners

74.5% 1.34 —
64.8% 1.54 —
54.5% 1.84 —
44.1% 2.27 —
34.5% 2.9 —
35.2% 2.84 —
45.5% 2.2 —
55.9% 1.79 —
65.5% 1.53 —

Home corners

84.0% 1.19 —
72.9% 1.37 —
60.2% 1.66 —

Away corners

46.4% 2.16 —
30.3% 3.3 —
17.9% 5.58 —

Cards

68.3% 1.46 —
50.1% 2.0 —
34.0% 2.94 —
22.0% 4.55 —
50.0% 2.0 —
66.0% 1.51 —
78.0% 1.28 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds