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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-19

Padova – Cesena

Home 42% 2.36 fair
Draw 28% 3.54 fair
Away 29% 3.41 fair
Expected Goals2.29
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.540%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 38.5% → 42.4% +4.0 pp
Draw 29.5% → 28.2% -1.3 pp
Away 32.0% → 29.3% -2.7 pp
Over 2.5 40.6% → 40.4% -0.1 pp
Both teams to score 47.2% → 46.3% -0.9 pp
Expected Goals 2.3 → 2.29 -0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.72 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.49 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

42.4% 2.36 —
28.2% 3.54 —
29.3% 3.41 —
70.7% 1.42 —
57.6% 1.74 —
71.8% 1.39 —

Half-time result

33.6% 2.98 —
41.1% 2.43 —
25.3% 3.95 —

Half-time double chance

74.7% 1.34 —
66.4% 1.51 —
58.9% 1.7 —

Both halves

10.5% 9.54 —

HT/FT

27.8% 3.59 —
4.6% 21.79 —
12.8% 7.79 —
18.8% 5.32 —
9.5% 10.55 —
4.9% 20.45 —
18.7% 5.35 —

HT/FT double chance

64.0% 1.56 —
51.3% 1.95 —
34.0% 2.94 —
39.1% 2.56 —
49.4% 2.02 —
29.3% 3.41 —
38.2% 2.62 —
42.8% 2.34 —
51.8% 1.93 —

Total goals

89.8% 1.11 —
66.4% 1.51 —
40.4% 2.47 —
20.1% 4.98 —
33.6% 2.98 —
59.6% 1.68 —
79.9% 1.25 —

1st-half goals

71.2% 1.41 —
35.9% 2.78 —

Home team goals

72.1% 1.39 —
36.5% 2.74 —

Away team goals

63.9% 1.56 —
26.9% 3.72 —

Both to score

46.3% 2.16 —

Corners

70.8% 1.41 —
60.1% 1.66 —
48.9% 2.05 —
38.4% 2.61 —
29.1% 3.43 —
39.9% 2.5 —
51.1% 1.96 —
61.6% 1.62 —
70.9% 1.41 —

Home corners

62.8% 1.59 —
46.3% 2.16 —
31.6% 3.17 —

Away corners

70.7% 1.42 —
55.4% 1.8 —
40.1% 2.49 —

Cards

79.2% 1.26 —
62.8% 1.59 —
45.5% 2.2 —
30.5% 3.28 —
37.2% 2.69 —
54.5% 1.83 —
69.5% 1.44 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds