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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-19

Empoli – Sampdoria

Home 42% 2.36 fair
Draw 27% 3.7 fair
Away 31% 3.27 fair
Expected Goals2.44
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.544%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 45.4% → 42.4% -3.1 pp
Draw 27.1% → 27.1% -0.1 pp
Away 27.5% → 30.6% +3.1 pp
Over 2.5 43.2% → 44.2% +1.1 pp
Both teams to score 47.7% → 49.0% +1.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.41 → 2.44 +0.03
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.44
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.32 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.22 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

42.4% 2.36 —
27.1% 3.7 —
30.6% 3.27 —
69.4% 1.44 —
57.6% 1.74 —
73.0% 1.37 —

Half-time result

31.6% 3.16 —
47.0% 2.13 —
21.4% 4.67 —

Half-time double chance

78.6% 1.27 —
68.3% 1.46 —
53.0% 1.89 —

Both halves

11.0% 9.06 —

HT/FT

24.1% 4.15 —
5.4% 18.66 —
16.3% 6.14 —
17.4% 5.76 —
13.3% 7.52 —
4.3% 23.15 —
15.1% 6.63 —

HT/FT double chance

63.1% 1.58 —
55.9% 1.79 —
38.2% 2.62 —
35.8% 2.79 —
43.4% 2.31 —
26.9% 3.71 —
40.0% 2.5 —
46.7% 2.14 —
50.1% 2.0 —

Total goals

91.4% 1.09 —
70.1% 1.43 —
44.2% 2.26 —
23.1% 4.34 —
29.9% 3.34 —
55.8% 1.79 —
76.9% 1.3 —

1st-half goals

62.3% 1.61 —
25.1% 3.98 —

Home team goals

73.9% 1.35 —
38.9% 2.57 —

Away team goals

66.6% 1.5 —
30.0% 3.34 —

Both to score

49.0% 2.04 —

Corners

67.0% 1.49 —
55.6% 1.8 —
44.2% 2.26 —
34.3% 2.91 —
25.6% 3.91 —
44.4% 2.25 —
55.8% 1.79 —
65.7% 1.52 —
74.4% 1.34 —

Home corners

64.1% 1.56 —
47.7% 2.1 —
32.8% 3.05 —

Away corners

64.2% 1.56 —
48.1% 2.08 —
33.5% 2.98 —

Cards

85.7% 1.17 —
72.4% 1.38 —
57.3% 1.75 —
41.8% 2.39 —
27.6% 3.63 —
42.7% 2.34 —
58.2% 1.72 —

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