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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-19

Carrarese – Avellino

Home 38% 2.63 fair
Draw 28% 3.52 fair
Away 34% 2.99 fair
Expected Goals2.36
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.542%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 42.6% → 38.1% -4.5 pp
Draw 27.1% → 28.4% +1.3 pp
Away 30.3% → 33.5% +3.2 pp
Over 2.5 44.6% → 42.1% -2.5 pp
Both teams to score 49.7% → 48.1% -1.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.47 → 2.36 -0.11
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.36
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.78 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.19 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

38.1% 2.63 —
28.4% 3.52 —
33.5% 2.99 —
66.5% 1.5 —
61.9% 1.62 —
71.6% 1.4 —

Half-time result

18.1% 5.53 —
46.7% 2.14 —
35.2% 2.84 —

Half-time double chance

64.8% 1.54 —
81.9% 1.22 —
53.3% 1.88 —

Both halves

7.4% 13.46 —

HT/FT

14.7% 6.81 —
19.3% 5.18 —
17.8% 5.61 —
9.6% 10.41 —
4.1% 24.45 —
7.9% 12.66 —
23.2% 4.31 —

HT/FT double chance

54.5% 1.83 —
44.3% 2.26 —
30.8% 3.24 —
29.4% 3.4 —
42.6% 2.34 —
34.5% 2.9 —
49.1% 2.04 —
56.2% 1.78 —
58.5% 1.71 —

Total goals

90.5% 1.11 —
68.6% 1.46 —
42.1% 2.38 —
21.2% 4.71 —
31.4% 3.18 —
57.9% 1.73 —
78.8% 1.27 —

1st-half goals

62.3% 1.61 —
25.5% 3.92 —

Home team goals

70.6% 1.42 —
34.9% 2.87 —

Away team goals

68.0% 1.47 —
31.4% 3.19 —

Both to score

48.1% 2.08 —

Corners

71.2% 1.41 —
60.4% 1.66 —
49.6% 2.02 —
39.3% 2.55 —
29.9% 3.34 —
39.6% 2.52 —
50.4% 1.98 —
60.7% 1.65 —
70.1% 1.43 —

Home corners

76.0% 1.32 —
62.1% 1.61 —
47.8% 2.09 —

Away corners

56.3% 1.77 —
39.1% 2.56 —
25.1% 3.98 —

Cards

85.9% 1.16 —
72.4% 1.38 —
56.7% 1.76 —
41.3% 2.42 —
27.7% 3.62 —
43.3% 2.31 —
58.7% 1.7 —

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