Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-19
Ascoli – Modena
Home
44%
2.28 fair
Draw
30%
3.31 fair
Away
26%
3.84 fair
Expected Goals2.05
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score40%
Over 2.534%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
36.7%
→
43.8%
+7.1 pp
Draw
32.1%
→
30.2%
-1.9 pp
Away
31.2%
→
26.1%
-5.1 pp
Over 2.5
28.5%
→
33.7%
+5.2 pp
Both teams to score
36.9%
→
40.0%
+3.1 pp
Expected Goals
1.87 →
2.05
+0.18
Most Likely Score
0-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — |
Half-time result
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.41 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — |
Both halves
| 11.1% | 9.03 | — |
HT/FT
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.15 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.88 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.73 | — | |||
| 8.7% | 11.45 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.23 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.09 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.8 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — |
Total goals
| 86.8% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.51 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 84.7% | 1.18 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.43 | — |
Home team goals
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — |
Away team goals
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.76 | — |
Both to score
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — |
Corners
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.8 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — |
Home corners
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — |
Away corners
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — |
Cards
| 87.2% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds