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Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-19

Tamworth – Hartlepool

Home 46% 2.19 fair
Draw 24% 4.09 fair
Away 30% 3.34 fair
Expected Goals2.94
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.556%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 44.5% → 45.6% +1.2 pp
Draw 25.0% → 24.4% -0.6 pp
Away 30.5% → 29.9% -0.6 pp
Over 2.5 54.2% → 56.2% +2.0 pp
Both teams to score 57.4% → 58.6% +1.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.87 → 2.94 +0.07
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.94
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.15 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.02 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

45.6% 2.19 —
24.4% 4.09 —
29.9% 3.34 —
70.1% 1.43 —
54.4% 1.84 —
75.6% 1.32 —

Half-time result

30.4% 3.28 —
43.3% 2.31 —
26.3% 3.81 —

Half-time double chance

73.7% 1.36 —
69.5% 1.44 —
56.7% 1.76 —

Both halves

12.7% 7.86 —

HT/FT

24.2% 4.13 —
4.3% 23.04 —
17.8% 5.63 —
14.3% 7.0 —
11.2% 8.93 —
3.6% 27.62 —
5.8% 17.18 —
16.8% 5.94 —

HT/FT double chance

60.6% 1.65 —
55.1% 1.81 —
31.7% 3.15 —
38.0% 2.63 —
46.6% 2.15 —
28.9% 3.46 —
41.5% 2.41 —
49.5% 2.02 —
48.1% 2.08 —

Total goals

94.6% 1.06 —
79.2% 1.26 —
56.2% 1.78 —
34.1% 2.94 —
20.8% 4.81 —
43.8% 2.29 —
65.9% 1.52 —

1st-half goals

67.7% 1.48 —
31.0% 3.22 —

Home team goals

81.0% 1.24 —
48.8% 2.05 —

Away team goals

72.1% 1.39 —
37.3% 2.68 —

Both to score

58.6% 1.71 —

Corners

76.6% 1.31 —
66.1% 1.51 —
54.3% 1.84 —
43.0% 2.32 —
33.0% 3.03 —
33.9% 2.95 —
45.7% 2.19 —
57.0% 1.76 —
67.0% 1.49 —

Home corners

80.9% 1.24 —
67.2% 1.49 —
51.4% 1.94 —

Away corners

59.8% 1.67 —
42.1% 2.38 —
26.9% 3.72 —

Cards

72.6% 1.38 —
54.7% 1.83 —
37.3% 2.68 —
23.3% 4.28 —
45.3% 2.21 —
62.7% 1.59 —
76.7% 1.3 —

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