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Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-19

Sutton – Kidderminster

Home 36% 2.76 fair
Draw 31% 3.23 fair
Away 33% 3.05 fair
Expected Goals1.96
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score39%
Over 2.531%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 31.4% → 36.2% +4.9 pp
Draw 30.8% → 31.0% +0.2 pp
Away 37.9% → 32.8% -5.1 pp
Over 2.5 32.5% → 31.2% -1.3 pp
Both teams to score 39.8% → 38.8% -1.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.0 → 1.96 -0.04
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.71 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.16 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

36.2% 2.76 —
31.0% 3.23 —
32.8% 3.05 —
67.2% 1.49 —
63.8% 1.57 —
69.0% 1.45 —

Half-time result

34.4% 2.91 —
44.9% 2.23 —
20.8% 4.82 —

Half-time double chance

79.2% 1.26 —
65.6% 1.52 —
55.1% 1.81 —

Both halves

6.9% 14.53 —

HT/FT

26.3% 3.8 —
6.3% 15.8 —
9.3% 10.75 —
21.8% 4.58 —
13.8% 7.27 —
17.3% 5.77 —

HT/FT double chance

63.8% 1.57 —
51.1% 1.96 —
43.6% 2.29 —
36.1% 2.77 —
46.0% 2.18 —
28.2% 3.55 —
34.5% 2.89 —
41.0% 2.44 —
55.7% 1.79 —

Total goals

86.0% 1.16 —
58.3% 1.72 —
31.2% 3.2 —
13.3% 7.5 —
41.7% 2.4 —
68.8% 1.45 —
86.7% 1.15 —

1st-half goals

65.2% 1.53 —
28.6% 3.5 —

Home team goals

63.5% 1.57 —
27.0% 3.71 —

Away team goals

61.3% 1.63 —
24.6% 4.07 —

Both to score

38.8% 2.57 —

Corners

62.0% 1.61 —
49.7% 2.01 —
37.6% 2.66 —
26.8% 3.74 —
18.6% 5.38 —
50.3% 1.99 —
62.4% 1.6 —
73.2% 1.37 —
81.4% 1.23 —

Home corners

73.7% 1.36 —
57.4% 1.74 —
41.4% 2.42 —

Away corners

45.7% 2.19 —
27.7% 3.61 —
15.5% 6.47 —

Cards

85.4% 1.17 —
71.7% 1.39 —
56.0% 1.79 —
41.0% 2.44 —
28.3% 3.54 —
44.0% 2.27 —
59.0% 1.7 —

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