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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-19

York – Crawley Town

Home 59% 1.68 fair
Draw 20% 4.95 fair
Away 20% 4.9 fair
Expected Goals3.42
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.567%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 67.4% → 59.4% -8.1 pp
Draw 18.1% → 20.2% +2.1 pp
Away 14.5% → 20.4% +6.0 pp
Over 2.5 64.6% → 66.6% +2.0 pp
Both teams to score 57.0% → 62.7% +5.8 pp
Expected Goals 3.35 → 3.42 +0.07
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.42
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.18 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.44 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

59.4% 1.68 —
20.2% 4.95 —
20.4% 4.9 —
79.6% 1.26 —
40.6% 2.46 —
79.8% 1.25 —

Half-time result

49.8% 2.01 —
37.8% 2.65 —
12.4% 8.06 —

Half-time double chance

87.6% 1.14 —
50.2% 1.99 —
62.2% 1.61 —

Both halves

22.3% 4.49 —

HT/FT

40.5% 2.47 —
6.2% 16.08 —
3.1% 32.05 —
16.7% 6.01 —
11.3% 8.87 —
9.8% 10.16 —
7.5% 13.4 —

HT/FT double chance

74.6% 1.34 —
70.1% 1.43 —
30.5% 3.28 —
51.6% 1.94 —
53.3% 1.88 —
19.5% 5.13 —
32.9% 3.04 —
36.2% 2.76 —
31.3% 3.2 —

Total goals

96.6% 1.04 —
85.4% 1.17 —
66.6% 1.5 —
44.5% 2.25 —
14.6% 6.84 —
33.4% 3.0 —
55.5% 1.8 —

1st-half goals

71.6% 1.4 —
36.9% 2.71 —

Home team goals

88.9% 1.13 —
64.2% 1.56 —

Away team goals

70.5% 1.42 —
34.3% 2.91 —

Both to score

62.7% 1.59 —

Corners

82.5% 1.21 —
73.5% 1.36 —
63.8% 1.57 —
53.4% 1.87 —
43.4% 2.3 —
26.5% 3.78 —
36.2% 2.76 —
46.6% 2.15 —
56.6% 1.77 —

Home corners

84.7% 1.18 —
73.3% 1.36 —
60.2% 1.66 —

Away corners

63.7% 1.57 —
46.5% 2.15 —
31.5% 3.18 —

Cards

78.7% 1.27 —
61.8% 1.62 —
44.4% 2.25 —
29.6% 3.38 —
38.2% 2.62 —
55.6% 1.8 —
70.4% 1.42 —

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