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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-19

Swindon – Tranmere

Home 54% 1.86 fair
Draw 23% 4.29 fair
Away 23% 4.36 fair
Expected Goals2.89
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.555%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 55.2% → 53.8% -1.4 pp
Draw 22.4% → 23.3% +0.9 pp
Away 22.4% → 22.9% +0.5 pp
Over 2.5 57.9% → 55.0% -2.9 pp
Both teams to score 57.5% → 55.0% -2.5 pp
Expected Goals 3.0 → 2.89 -0.11
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.89
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.77 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.6 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

53.8% 1.86 —
23.3% 4.29 —
22.9% 4.36 —
77.1% 1.3 —
46.2% 2.16 —
76.7% 1.3 —

Half-time result

37.2% 2.68 —
42.5% 2.35 —
20.2% 4.95 —

Half-time double chance

79.8% 1.25 —
62.8% 1.59 —
57.5% 1.74 —

Both halves

17.3% 5.79 —

HT/FT

31.1% 3.22 —
4.5% 22.03 —
19.4% 5.15 —
13.9% 7.2 —
9.2% 10.81 —
3.3% 30.67 —
4.9% 20.49 —
12.1% 8.28 —

HT/FT double chance

68.9% 1.45 —
61.4% 1.63 —
29.3% 3.42 —
43.8% 2.28 —
48.0% 2.08 —
23.1% 4.33 —
41.4% 2.41 —
44.0% 2.27 —
40.1% 2.49 —

Total goals

94.5% 1.06 —
78.5% 1.27 —
55.0% 1.82 —
32.8% 3.05 —
21.5% 4.65 —
45.0% 2.22 —
67.2% 1.49 —

1st-half goals

68.1% 1.47 —
32.1% 3.12 —

Home team goals

83.3% 1.2 —
53.6% 1.87 —

Away team goals

66.2% 1.51 —
29.8% 3.36 —

Both to score

55.0% 1.82 —

Corners

79.8% 1.25 —
70.7% 1.42 —
60.4% 1.66 —
49.5% 2.02 —
39.5% 2.53 —
29.3% 3.41 —
39.6% 2.53 —
50.5% 1.98 —
60.5% 1.65 —

Home corners

80.2% 1.25 —
66.8% 1.5 —
52.2% 1.92 —

Away corners

66.7% 1.5 —
50.3% 1.99 —
35.5% 2.82 —

Cards

67.0% 1.49 —
47.2% 2.12 —
29.7% 3.36 —
17.4% 5.76 —
52.8% 1.89 —
70.3% 1.42 —
82.6% 1.21 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds