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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-19

Port Vale – Rotherham

Home 61% 1.65 fair
Draw 22% 4.49 fair
Away 17% 5.87 fair
Expected Goals2.8
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.553%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 58.7% → 60.7% +2.0 pp
Draw 23.7% → 22.3% -1.5 pp
Away 17.6% → 17.0% -0.6 pp
Over 2.5 45.5% → 52.9% +7.5 pp
Both teams to score 45.1% → 50.4% +5.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.5 → 2.8 +0.3
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.8
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.29 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.33 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

60.7% 1.65 —
22.3% 4.49 —
17.0% 5.87 —
83.0% 1.21 —
39.3% 2.54 —
77.7% 1.29 —

Half-time result

49.1% 2.04 —
36.4% 2.75 —
14.6% 6.86 —

Half-time double chance

85.4% 1.17 —
50.9% 1.96 —
63.6% 1.57 —

Both halves

21.8% 4.59 —

HT/FT

42.5% 2.35 —
5.2% 19.16 —
16.0% 6.25 —
13.4% 7.46 —
7.0% 14.37 —
3.6% 27.4 —
8.7% 11.47 —

HT/FT double chance

77.1% 1.3 —
66.8% 1.5 —
27.0% 3.71 —
53.5% 1.87 —
54.8% 1.83 —
18.9% 5.28 —
35.2% 2.84 —
33.9% 2.95 —
32.7% 3.06 —

Total goals

93.8% 1.07 —
77.1% 1.3 —
52.9% 1.89 —
30.8% 3.25 —
22.9% 4.36 —
47.0% 2.13 —
69.2% 1.45 —

1st-half goals

74.3% 1.35 —
39.6% 2.52 —

Home team goals

85.1% 1.17 —
56.8% 1.76 —

Away team goals

59.1% 1.69 —
22.5% 4.44 —

Both to score

50.4% 1.98 —

Corners

67.7% 1.48 —
56.2% 1.78 —
44.4% 2.25 —
34.0% 2.94 —
25.0% 4.0 —
43.8% 2.28 —
55.6% 1.8 —
66.0% 1.51 —
75.0% 1.33 —

Home corners

74.6% 1.34 —
59.5% 1.68 —
44.0% 2.27 —

Away corners

52.5% 1.9 —
35.3% 2.83 —
21.5% 4.66 —

Cards

77.4% 1.29 —
60.5% 1.65 —
43.0% 2.33 —
27.8% 3.59 —
39.5% 2.53 —
57.0% 1.75 —
72.2% 1.39 —

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