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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-19

Newport County – Oldham

Home 30% 3.31 fair
Draw 27% 3.67 fair
Away 43% 2.35 fair
Expected Goals2.42
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.544%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 27.7% → 30.2% +2.5 pp
Draw 26.9% → 27.3% +0.4 pp
Away 45.4% → 42.5% -2.8 pp
Over 2.5 45.5% → 43.8% -1.7 pp
Both teams to score 49.7% → 49.2% -0.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.49 → 2.42 -0.07
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.42
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.54 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.14 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

30.2% 3.31 —
27.3% 3.67 —
42.5% 2.35 —
57.5% 1.74 —
69.8% 1.43 —
72.7% 1.38 —

Half-time result

29.9% 3.34 —
45.0% 2.22 —
25.1% 3.98 —

Half-time double chance

74.9% 1.34 —
70.1% 1.43 —
55.0% 1.82 —

Both halves

6.2% 16.21 —

HT/FT

19.8% 5.05 —
6.5% 15.29 —
3.5% 28.17 —
9.4% 10.66 —
17.3% 5.77 —
18.3% 5.47 —
3.4% 29.41 —
20.7% 4.83 —

HT/FT double chance

53.1% 1.88 —
51.0% 1.96 —
45.7% 2.19 —
30.8% 3.25 —
45.1% 2.22 —
34.2% 2.93 —
31.1% 3.21 —
49.4% 2.03 —
59.7% 1.67 —

Total goals

91.1% 1.1 —
70.0% 1.43 —
43.8% 2.28 —
22.2% 4.49 —
30.0% 3.33 —
56.2% 1.78 —
77.8% 1.29 —

1st-half goals

65.7% 1.52 —
29.4% 3.4 —

Home team goals

66.4% 1.51 —
29.6% 3.38 —

Away team goals

74.0% 1.35 —
38.3% 2.61 —

Both to score

49.2% 2.03 —

Corners

69.8% 1.43 —
58.5% 1.71 —
47.2% 2.12 —
36.8% 2.72 —
27.4% 3.65 —
41.5% 2.41 —
52.8% 1.89 —
63.2% 1.58 —
72.6% 1.38 —

Home corners

63.9% 1.56 —
47.3% 2.12 —
32.4% 3.09 —

Away corners

69.1% 1.45 —
52.3% 1.91 —
37.4% 2.67 —

Cards

75.0% 1.33 —
57.1% 1.75 —
39.4% 2.54 —
25.0% 4.0 —
42.9% 2.33 —
60.6% 1.65 —
75.0% 1.33 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds