Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-19
Accrington – Chesterfield
Home
34%
2.95 fair
Draw
25%
3.95 fair
Away
41%
2.45 fair
Expected Goals2.78
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.552%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
31.1%
→
33.9%
+2.8 pp
Draw
25.0%
→
25.3%
+0.3 pp
Away
43.9%
→
40.8%
-3.1 pp
Over 2.5
50.6%
→
52.5%
+1.9 pp
Both teams to score
54.1%
→
56.6%
+2.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.7 →
2.78
+0.08
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 25.3% | 3.95 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — |
Both halves
| 8.1% | 12.42 | — |
HT/FT
| 23.3% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.1 | — | |||
| 9.0% | 11.1 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.79 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.32 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 22.99 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — |
Total goals
| 93.8% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — |
Home team goals
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — |
Both to score
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — |
Corners
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — |
Home corners
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — |
Away corners
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — |
Cards
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds