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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-19

Man City – Hull

Home 61% 1.63 fair
Draw 23% 4.3 fair
Away 15% 6.51 fair
Expected Goals2.45
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.545%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 62.1% → 61.4% -0.7 pp
Draw 23.0% → 23.3% +0.3 pp
Away 14.9% → 15.3% +0.5 pp
Over 2.5 46.0% → 44.8% -1.2 pp
Both teams to score 43.6% → 42.5% -1.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.53 → 2.45 -0.08
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.45
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.64 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.03 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

61.4% 1.63 —
23.3% 4.3 —
15.3% 6.51 —
84.7% 1.18 —
38.6% 2.59 —
76.7% 1.3 —

Half-time result

49.0% 2.04 —
38.6% 2.59 —
12.4% 8.08 —

Half-time double chance

87.6% 1.14 —
51.0% 1.96 —
61.4% 1.63 —

Both halves

20.3% 4.92 —

HT/FT

43.2% 2.32 —
4.8% 20.92 —
16.7% 6.0 —
15.6% 6.41 —
6.3% 15.8 —
8.0% 12.58 —

HT/FT double chance

80.2% 1.25 —
67.2% 1.49 —
27.8% 3.6 —
52.4% 1.91 —
53.7% 1.86 —
16.7% 6.0 —
36.7% 2.72 —
32.5% 3.08 —
32.8% 3.05 —

Total goals

91.2% 1.1 —
70.0% 1.43 —
44.8% 2.23 —
23.2% 4.32 —
30.0% 3.33 —
55.2% 1.81 —
76.8% 1.3 —

1st-half goals

70.5% 1.42 —
35.4% 2.83 —

Home team goals

82.2% 1.22 —
51.6% 1.94 —

Away team goals

51.5% 1.94 —
16.8% 5.97 —

Both to score

42.5% 2.35 —

Corners

77.5% 1.29 —
68.2% 1.47 —
58.2% 1.72 —
47.8% 2.09 —
38.2% 2.62 —
31.8% 3.15 —
41.8% 2.39 —
52.2% 1.91 —
61.8% 1.62 —

Home corners

87.5% 1.14 —
78.2% 1.28 —
66.6% 1.5 —

Away corners

43.0% 2.32 —
26.6% 3.77 —
15.0% 6.64 —

Cards

71.9% 1.39 —
54.1% 1.85 —
37.5% 2.66 —
24.0% 4.17 —
45.9% 2.18 —
62.5% 1.6 —
76.0% 1.32 —

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