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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-19

Leeds – Fulham

Home 40% 2.49 fair
Draw 29% 3.5 fair
Away 31% 3.2 fair
Expected Goals2.36
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.542%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 42.3% → 40.2% -2.1 pp
Draw 27.2% → 28.6% +1.4 pp
Away 30.6% → 31.2% +0.6 pp
Over 2.5 46.2% → 41.8% -4.4 pp
Both teams to score 51.2% → 48.3% -2.9 pp
Expected Goals 2.52 → 2.36 -0.16
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.36
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.89 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.57 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

40.2% 2.49 —
28.6% 3.5 —
31.2% 3.2 —
68.8% 1.45 —
59.8% 1.67 —
71.4% 1.4 —

Half-time result

36.5% 2.74 —
49.2% 2.03 —
14.2% 7.04 —

Half-time double chance

85.8% 1.17 —
63.4% 1.58 —
50.8% 1.97 —

Both halves

9.9% 10.07 —

HT/FT

25.7% 3.9 —
7.8% 12.87 —
3.1% 32.05 —
13.6% 7.34 —
18.1% 5.53 —
17.5% 5.7 —
10.6% 9.47 —

HT/FT double chance

65.1% 1.54 —
60.0% 1.67 —
46.5% 2.15 —
37.1% 2.7 —
40.2% 2.48 —
24.2% 4.13 —
35.4% 2.83 —
42.6% 2.35 —
48.9% 2.04 —

Total goals

90.6% 1.1 —
68.3% 1.46 —
41.8% 2.39 —
21.4% 4.66 —
31.7% 3.15 —
58.2% 1.72 —
78.5% 1.27 —

1st-half goals

57.6% 1.74 —
21.0% 4.75 —

Home team goals

72.2% 1.38 —
36.5% 2.74 —

Away team goals

66.6% 1.5 —
29.2% 3.42 —

Both to score

48.3% 2.07 —

Corners

72.1% 1.39 —
61.6% 1.62 —
51.2% 1.95 —
40.4% 2.47 —
30.6% 3.27 —
38.4% 2.61 —
48.8% 2.05 —
59.6% 1.68 —
69.4% 1.44 —

Home corners

68.5% 1.46 —
53.1% 1.88 —
38.6% 2.59 —

Away corners

66.9% 1.49 —
51.3% 1.95 —
36.2% 2.76 —

Cards

64.9% 1.54 —
46.1% 2.17 —
29.9% 3.34 —
18.0% 5.56 —
53.9% 1.85 —
70.0% 1.43 —
82.0% 1.22 —

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