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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-19

Brentford – Newcastle

Home 45% 2.21 fair
Draw 23% 4.31 fair
Away 31% 3.18 fair
Expected Goals3.1
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.560%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 45.2% → 45.3% +0.1 pp
Draw 23.4% → 23.2% -0.2 pp
Away 31.4% → 31.5% +0.1 pp
Over 2.5 61.5% → 59.8% -1.7 pp
Both teams to score 62.6% → 61.3% -1.3 pp
Expected Goals 3.18 → 3.1 -0.08
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.79 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.21 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

45.3% 2.21 —
23.2% 4.31 —
31.5% 3.18 —
68.5% 1.46 —
54.7% 1.83 —
76.8% 1.3 —

Half-time result

35.0% 2.85 —
37.7% 2.65 —
27.3% 3.67 —

Half-time double chance

72.8% 1.37 —
65.0% 1.54 —
62.3% 1.61 —

Both halves

13.4% 7.49 —

HT/FT

27.9% 3.59 —
5.0% 20.2 —
14.6% 6.84 —
12.8% 7.81 —
10.3% 9.69 —
5.4% 18.38 —
19.0% 5.27 —

HT/FT double chance

60.2% 1.66 —
55.0% 1.82 —
30.2% 3.31 —
41.1% 2.43 —
51.9% 1.93 —
31.6% 3.17 —
35.7% 2.8 —
46.7% 2.14 —
47.5% 2.1 —

Total goals

95.6% 1.05 —
81.5% 1.23 —
59.8% 1.67 —
37.4% 2.67 —
18.6% 5.39 —
40.2% 2.49 —
62.6% 1.6 —

1st-half goals

76.1% 1.31 —
42.0% 2.38 —

Home team goals

81.8% 1.22 —
51.2% 1.95 —

Away team goals

75.0% 1.33 —
40.7% 2.46 —

Both to score

61.3% 1.63 —

Corners

78.9% 1.27 —
69.9% 1.43 —
59.9% 1.67 —
49.6% 2.01 —
39.9% 2.5 —
30.1% 3.32 —
40.1% 2.49 —
50.4% 1.98 —
60.1% 1.67 —

Home corners

68.9% 1.45 —
53.6% 1.87 —
39.1% 2.56 —

Away corners

76.3% 1.31 —
62.8% 1.59 —
48.6% 2.06 —

Cards

74.1% 1.35 —
56.8% 1.76 —
40.4% 2.48 —
26.5% 3.78 —
43.2% 2.31 —
59.6% 1.68 —
73.5% 1.36 —

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