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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-19

Bournemouth – Coventry

Home 61% 1.64 fair
Draw 20% 4.92 fair
Away 19% 5.37 fair
Expected Goals3.21
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.562%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 57.8% → 61.1% +3.3 pp
Draw 21.9% → 20.3% -1.6 pp
Away 20.3% → 18.6% -1.7 pp
Over 2.5 58.1% → 61.9% +3.8 pp
Both teams to score 56.6% → 58.4% +1.7 pp
Expected Goals 3.05 → 3.21 +0.16
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.21
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.73 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.99 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

61.1% 1.64 —
20.3% 4.92 —
18.6% 5.37 —
81.4% 1.23 —
38.9% 2.57 —
79.7% 1.26 —

Half-time result

36.3% 2.75 —
49.0% 2.04 —
14.7% 6.81 —

Half-time double chance

85.3% 1.17 —
63.7% 1.57 —
51.0% 1.96 —

Both halves

20.0% 5.01 —

HT/FT

30.6% 3.26 —
3.9% 25.84 —
26.5% 3.77 —
12.9% 7.75 —
9.6% 10.44 —
3.9% 25.58 —
3.5% 28.17 —
7.2% 13.85 —

HT/FT double chance

73.9% 1.35 —
68.5% 1.46 —
28.2% 3.55 —
42.0% 2.38 —
43.6% 2.29 —
16.5% 6.08 —
46.9% 2.13 —
47.2% 2.12 —
33.2% 3.01 —

Total goals

95.9% 1.04 —
82.9% 1.21 —
61.9% 1.61 —
40.3% 2.48 —
17.1% 5.85 —
38.1% 2.63 —
59.8% 1.67 —

1st-half goals

58.1% 1.72 —
21.7% 4.6 —

Home team goals

87.8% 1.14 —
62.8% 1.59 —

Away team goals

66.5% 1.5 —
29.7% 3.37 —

Both to score

58.4% 1.71 —

Corners

70.8% 1.41 —
59.9% 1.67 —
48.9% 2.04 —
38.7% 2.58 —
29.2% 3.43 —
40.1% 2.49 —
51.0% 1.96 —
61.3% 1.63 —
70.8% 1.41 —

Home corners

74.5% 1.34 —
60.2% 1.66 —
45.6% 2.19 —

Away corners

57.1% 1.75 —
40.3% 2.48 —
26.2% 3.81 —

Cards

71.2% 1.4 —
53.5% 1.87 —
36.9% 2.71 —
23.3% 4.29 —
46.5% 2.15 —
63.1% 1.58 —
76.7% 1.3 —

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