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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-11-14

Sociedad B – Sp Gijon

Home 37% 2.73 fair
Draw 26% 3.86 fair
Away 37% 2.67 fair
Expected Goals2.64
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.549%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 34.5% → 36.6% +2.1 pp
Draw 25.1% → 25.9% +0.8 pp
Away 40.3% → 37.5% -2.9 pp
Over 2.5 52.9% → 48.9% -4.0 pp
Both teams to score 56.4% → 53.5% -2.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.8 → 2.64 -0.16
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.64
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.45 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.55 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

36.6% 2.73 —
25.9% 3.86 —
37.5% 2.67 —
62.5% 1.6 —
63.4% 1.58 —
74.1% 1.35 —

Half-time result

28.1% 3.56 —
43.8% 2.28 —
28.2% 3.55 —

Half-time double chance

71.8% 1.39 —
72.0% 1.39 —
56.2% 1.78 —

Both halves

8.7% 11.47 —

HT/FT

20.3% 4.92 —
5.3% 18.8 —
14.2% 7.06 —
15.6% 6.41 —
14.0% 7.14 —
5.0% 20.04 —
21.0% 4.76 —

HT/FT double chance

55.4% 1.81 —
50.9% 1.96 —
37.4% 2.68 —
32.8% 3.05 —
45.9% 2.18 —
33.8% 2.96 —
36.9% 2.71 —
51.4% 1.95 —
55.6% 1.8 —

Total goals

93.0% 1.08 —
73.9% 1.35 —
48.9% 2.04 —
27.2% 3.68 —
26.1% 3.83 —
51.1% 1.96 —
72.8% 1.37 —

1st-half goals

67.5% 1.48 —
30.9% 3.23 —

Home team goals

73.0% 1.37 —
37.9% 2.64 —

Away team goals

73.5% 1.36 —
38.1% 2.62 —

Both to score

53.5% 1.87 —

Corners

68.7% 1.45 —
57.4% 1.74 —
46.6% 2.15 —
35.9% 2.78 —
26.4% 3.79 —
42.6% 2.35 —
53.4% 1.87 —
64.1% 1.56 —
73.6% 1.36 —

Home corners

71.5% 1.4 —
56.4% 1.77 —
41.3% 2.42 —

Away corners

58.4% 1.71 —
41.3% 2.42 —
27.2% 3.68 —

Cards

87.9% 1.14 —
76.0% 1.32 —
61.1% 1.64 —
46.2% 2.16 —
24.0% 4.16 —
38.9% 2.57 —
53.8% 1.86 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds