Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-11-14
Valladolid – Castellon
Home
30%
3.37 fair
Draw
24%
4.09 fair
Away
46%
2.18 fair
Expected Goals2.8
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.554%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
29.6%
→
29.7%
+0.1 pp
Draw
25.6%
→
24.5%
-1.1 pp
Away
44.9%
→
45.9%
+1.0 pp
Over 2.5
50.1%
→
53.5%
+3.4 pp
Both teams to score
53.4%
→
55.7%
+2.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.67 →
2.8
+0.13
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.09 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.87 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — |
Both halves
| 6.6% | 15.15 | — |
HT/FT
| 19.4% | 5.17 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.42 | — | |||
| 8.9% | 11.19 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.96 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.09 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 22.99 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — |
Total goals
| 94.0% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — |
Home team goals
| 70.2% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — |
Away team goals
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — |
Both to score
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — |
Corners
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — |
Home corners
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — |
Away corners
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.14 | — |
Cards
| 90.5% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.01 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds