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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-11-13

Leganes – Burgos

Home 30% 3.37 fair
Draw 33% 3.05 fair
Away 37% 2.67 fair
Expected Goals1.8
Most Likely Score0-0
Both teams to score35%
Over 2.527%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 30.1% → 29.7% -0.4 pp
Draw 34.8% → 32.8% -2.0 pp
Away 35.1% → 37.5% +2.4 pp
Over 2.5 22.9% → 26.9% +4.0 pp
Both teams to score 31.6% → 34.9% +3.3 pp
Expected Goals 1.65 → 1.8 +0.15
Most Likely Score 0-0 → 0-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.8
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.83 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.31 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

29.7% 3.37 —
32.8% 3.05 —
37.5% 2.67 —
62.5% 1.6 —
70.3% 1.42 —
67.2% 1.49 —

Half-time result

22.0% 4.54 —
51.8% 1.93 —
26.2% 3.82 —

Half-time double chance

73.8% 1.36 —
78.0% 1.28 —
48.2% 2.07 —

Both halves

5.1% 19.42 —

HT/FT

16.5% 6.06 —
4.2% 23.53 —
12.3% 8.1 —
24.5% 4.07 —
14.9% 6.72 —
4.0% 24.75 —
21.3% 4.69 —

HT/FT double chance

57.6% 1.73 —
45.0% 2.22 —
44.9% 2.23 —
25.7% 3.9 —
39.9% 2.5 —
30.9% 3.24 —
41.8% 2.39 —
49.4% 2.02 —
64.8% 1.54 —

Total goals

83.3% 1.2 —
53.6% 1.86 —
26.9% 3.72 —
11.0% 9.07 —
46.3% 2.16 —
73.1% 1.37 —
89.0% 1.12 —

1st-half goals

56.2% 1.78 —
20.3% 4.93 —

Home team goals

56.3% 1.78 —
20.1% 4.98 —

Away team goals

62.0% 1.61 —
25.4% 3.94 —

Both to score

34.9% 2.87 —

Corners

62.4% 1.6 —
50.8% 1.97 —
39.3% 2.55 —
28.9% 3.46 —
20.5% 4.87 —
49.2% 2.03 —
60.7% 1.65 —
71.1% 1.41 —
79.5% 1.26 —

Home corners

70.1% 1.43 —
54.7% 1.83 —
39.6% 2.53 —

Away corners

49.5% 2.02 —
32.8% 3.05 —
19.8% 5.05 —

Cards

86.2% 1.16 —
73.3% 1.36 —
58.0% 1.72 —
42.7% 2.34 —
26.7% 3.74 —
42.0% 2.38 —
57.3% 1.75 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds