Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-11-07 13:00
Burgos – Celta B
Home
58%
1.73 fair
Draw
22%
4.45 fair
Away
20%
5.1 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Burgos – Celta B
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Burgos – Celta B
Expected Goals2.87
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.555%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
50.1%
→
58.0%
+7.8 pp
Draw
25.0%
→
22.5%
-2.5 pp
Away
24.9%
→
19.6%
-5.3 pp
Over 2.5
46.6%
→
55.0%
+8.4 pp
Both teams to score
49.4%
→
53.3%
+3.9 pp
Expected Goals
2.54 →
2.87
+0.33
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 58.0% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.45 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.1 | — | |||
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.26 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — |
Both halves
| 17.9% | 5.6 | — |
HT/FT
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.73 | — | |||
| 9.8% | 10.18 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.35 | — | |||
| 6.7% | 15.04 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.15 | — | |||
| 11.5% | 8.67 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.59 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — |
Total goals
| 94.1% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.51 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — |
1st-half goals
| 83.1% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — |
Home team goals
| 84.6% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — |
Away team goals
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — |
Both to score
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — |
Corners
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.95 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — |
Home corners
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — |
Away corners
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.74 | — |
Cards
| 89.4% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.64 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds