Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-11-02 17:30
Valladolid – Leganes
Home
44%
2.3 fair
Draw
30%
3.37 fair
Away
27%
3.72 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Valladolid – Leganes
FINAL
Actual Result
4–3
Valladolid – Leganes
Expected Goals2.07
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.534%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
43.6%
→
43.5%
-0.1 pp
Draw
30.1%
→
29.6%
-0.5 pp
Away
26.3%
→
26.9%
+0.5 pp
Over 2.5
33.8%
→
34.3%
+0.5 pp
Both teams to score
40.2%
→
40.8%
+0.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.05 →
2.07
+0.02
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.72 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — |
Half-time result
| 32.3% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.47 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.7% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — |
Both halves
| 10.7% | 9.39 | — |
HT/FT
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 19.88 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.24 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.96 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.18 | — | |||
| 12.9% | 7.75 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — |
Total goals
| 87.5% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.44 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — |
1st-half goals
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — |
Home team goals
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — |
Away team goals
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.58 | — |
Both to score
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — |
Corners
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.56 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — |
Home corners
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — |
Away corners
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.54 | — |
Cards
| 90.4% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.0 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds