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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-17

Crewe – Salford

Home 36% 2.77 fair
Draw 27% 3.74 fair
Away 37% 2.7 fair
Expected Goals2.49
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.545%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 39.1% → 36.1% -3.0 pp
Draw 27.7% → 26.8% -0.9 pp
Away 33.2% → 37.1% +3.9 pp
Over 2.5 42.4% → 45.5% +3.0 pp
Both teams to score 48.4% → 51.1% +2.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.36 → 2.49 +0.13
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.49
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.58 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.0 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

36.1% 2.77 —
26.8% 3.74 —
37.1% 2.7 —
62.9% 1.59 —
63.8% 1.57 —
73.2% 1.37 —

Half-time result

27.6% 3.62 —
41.1% 2.43 —
31.3% 3.2 —

Half-time double chance

68.7% 1.45 —
72.4% 1.38 —
58.9% 1.7 —

Both halves

8.7% 11.52 —

HT/FT

21.4% 4.67 —
4.5% 22.27 —
12.7% 7.89 —
16.9% 5.93 —
11.6% 8.63 —
5.4% 18.48 —
23.8% 4.2 —

HT/FT double chance

55.4% 1.8 —
47.4% 2.11 —
34.6% 2.89 —
33.4% 3.0 —
49.0% 2.04 —
35.4% 2.83 —
37.0% 2.7 —
50.1% 2.0 —
57.7% 1.73 —

Total goals

91.6% 1.09 —
70.9% 1.41 —
45.5% 2.2 —
23.9% 4.18 —
29.1% 3.44 —
54.5% 1.83 —
76.1% 1.31 —

1st-half goals

70.9% 1.41 —
34.5% 2.9 —

Home team goals

71.1% 1.41 —
34.8% 2.88 —

Away team goals

71.5% 1.4 —
35.4% 2.82 —

Both to score

51.1% 1.96 —

Corners

70.1% 1.43 —
58.9% 1.7 —
47.8% 2.09 —
36.9% 2.71 —
27.5% 3.64 —
41.1% 2.43 —
52.2% 1.91 —
63.1% 1.58 —
72.5% 1.38 —

Home corners

68.5% 1.46 —
52.6% 1.9 —
37.4% 2.67 —

Away corners

64.5% 1.55 —
47.8% 2.09 —
33.0% 3.03 —

Cards

73.2% 1.37 —
54.5% 1.83 —
36.8% 2.72 —
22.7% 4.4 —
45.5% 2.2 —
63.2% 1.58 —
77.3% 1.29 —

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