Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-23
Monza – Fiorentina
Home
26%
3.88 fair
Draw
22%
4.45 fair
Away
52%
1.93 fair
Expected Goals3.1
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.560%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
24.0%
→
25.8%
+1.7 pp
Draw
23.4%
→
22.5%
-1.0 pp
Away
52.5%
→
51.8%
-0.7 pp
Over 2.5
54.5%
→
60.2%
+5.7 pp
Both teams to score
55.4%
→
60.3%
+4.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.87 →
3.1
+0.23
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.45 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — |
Both halves
| 5.5% | 18.35 | — |
HT/FT
| 14.8% | 6.78 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.94 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 28.01 | — | |||
| 9.2% | 10.86 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.15 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.04 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.37 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.16 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — |
Total goals
| 95.7% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 81.7% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.46 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — |
1st-half goals
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — |
Home team goals
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — |
Away team goals
| 84.4% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — |
Both to score
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — |
Corners
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.39 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — |
Home corners
| 54.8% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — |
Away corners
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — |
Cards
| 82.7% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds