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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-23

Monza – Fiorentina

Home 24% 4.16 fair
Draw 23% 4.27 fair
Away 53% 1.9 fair
Expected Goals2.87
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.554%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.87
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.5 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.84 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

24.0% 4.16 —
23.4% 4.27 —
52.5% 1.9 —
47.5% 2.11 —
75.9% 1.32 —
76.6% 1.31 —

Half-time result

21.1% 4.73 —
37.8% 2.65 —
41.1% 2.43 —

Half-time double chance

58.9% 1.7 —
78.9% 1.27 —
62.2% 1.61 —

Both halves

5.0% 20.2 —

HT/FT

13.7% 7.28 —
4.7% 21.14 —
8.6% 11.61 —
13.5% 7.4 —
15.7% 6.39 —
5.2% 19.34 —
34.2% 2.92 —

HT/FT double chance

40.6% 2.46 —
40.7% 2.46 —
36.5% 2.74 —
25.3% 3.95 —
52.3% 1.91 —
46.8% 2.14 —
29.0% 3.45 —
60.2% 1.66 —
68.6% 1.46 —

Total goals

94.5% 1.06 —
77.8% 1.29 —
54.5% 1.84 —
32.8% 3.05 —
22.2% 4.5 —
45.5% 2.2 —
67.2% 1.49 —

1st-half goals

75.1% 1.33 —
40.7% 2.46 —

Home team goals

67.1% 1.49 —
30.7% 3.25 —

Away team goals

82.8% 1.21 —
52.1% 1.92 —

Both to score

55.4% 1.8 —

Corners

58.0% 1.72 —
46.3% 2.16 —
35.3% 2.84 —
26.0% 3.85 —
18.8% 5.33 —
53.7% 1.86 —
64.7% 1.54 —
74.0% 1.35 —
81.2% 1.23 —

Home corners

58.9% 1.7 —
42.4% 2.36 —
28.3% 3.54 —

Away corners

56.4% 1.77 —
39.9% 2.51 —
26.1% 3.83 —

Cards

82.0% 1.22 —
67.0% 1.49 —
50.9% 1.96 —
35.6% 2.81 —
33.0% 3.03 —
49.1% 2.04 —
64.4% 1.55 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds