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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-11-23

Brentford – Everton

Home 47% 2.14 fair
Draw 27% 3.76 fair
Away 27% 3.76 fair
Expected Goals2.45
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.544%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 46.2% → 46.8% +0.5 pp
Draw 26.8% → 26.6% -0.2 pp
Away 27.0% → 26.6% -0.4 pp
Over 2.5 43.8% → 44.2% +0.4 pp
Both teams to score 48.5% → 48.4% -0.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.44 → 2.45 +0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.45
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.2 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.82 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

46.8% 2.14 —
26.6% 3.76 —
26.6% 3.76 —
73.4% 1.36 —
53.2% 1.88 —
73.4% 1.36 —

Half-time result

33.5% 2.99 —
47.3% 2.11 —
19.2% 5.21 —

Half-time double chance

80.8% 1.24 —
66.5% 1.5 —
52.7% 1.9 —

Both halves

12.4% 8.04 —

HT/FT

26.7% 3.74 —
5.2% 19.34 —
17.9% 5.58 —
17.2% 5.8 —
12.1% 8.24 —
4.2% 23.75 —
12.9% 7.75 —

HT/FT double chance

67.1% 1.49 —
58.4% 1.71 —
36.1% 2.77 —
38.2% 2.62 —
43.3% 2.31 —
23.9% 4.19 —
41.5% 2.41 —
45.1% 2.22 —
46.5% 2.15 —

Total goals

91.2% 1.1 —
69.9% 1.43 —
44.2% 2.26 —
23.3% 4.28 —
30.1% 3.32 —
55.8% 1.79 —
76.7% 1.3 —

1st-half goals

61.9% 1.62 —
25.4% 3.94 —

Home team goals

75.9% 1.32 —
42.3% 2.37 —

Away team goals

63.7% 1.57 —
27.2% 3.67 —

Both to score

48.4% 2.07 —

Corners

74.6% 1.34 —
64.3% 1.56 —
53.7% 1.86 —
43.6% 2.29 —
34.1% 2.93 —
35.7% 2.8 —
46.3% 2.16 —
56.4% 1.77 —
65.9% 1.52 —

Home corners

74.1% 1.35 —
59.5% 1.68 —
45.1% 2.22 —

Away corners

64.5% 1.55 —
48.8% 2.05 —
34.1% 2.93 —

Cards

68.7% 1.46 —
49.8% 2.01 —
33.9% 2.95 —
21.1% 4.73 —
50.2% 1.99 —
66.1% 1.51 —
78.9% 1.27 —

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