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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-12-13

Parma – Fiorentina

Home 27% 3.66 fair
Draw 28% 3.63 fair
Away 45% 2.22 fair
Expected Goals2.32
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.541%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 28.4% → 27.3% -1.1 pp
Draw 27.8% → 27.6% -0.2 pp
Away 43.8% → 45.1% +1.3 pp
Over 2.5 38.8% → 41.1% +2.3 pp
Both teams to score 44.1% → 46.1% +2.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.23 → 2.32 +0.09
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.32
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.81 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.63 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

27.3% 3.66 —
27.6% 3.63 —
45.1% 2.22 —
54.9% 1.82 —
72.7% 1.38 —
72.4% 1.38 —

Half-time result

17.9% 5.59 —
51.0% 1.96 —
31.1% 3.22 —

Half-time double chance

69.0% 1.45 —
82.1% 1.22 —
48.9% 2.04 —

Both halves

4.8% 21.05 —

HT/FT

11.9% 8.4 —
4.0% 25.25 —
13.5% 7.39 —
18.6% 5.37 —
18.9% 5.29 —
5.0% 19.92 —
24.2% 4.13 —

HT/FT double chance

48.0% 2.08 —
46.4% 2.16 —
43.5% 2.3 —
22.7% 4.4 —
40.0% 2.5 —
35.2% 2.84 —
39.0% 2.56 —
58.5% 1.71 —
66.7% 1.5 —

Total goals

90.1% 1.11 —
67.5% 1.48 —
41.1% 2.43 —
20.4% 4.9 —
32.5% 3.08 —
58.9% 1.7 —
79.6% 1.26 —

1st-half goals

56.1% 1.78 —
19.8% 5.06 —

Home team goals

62.2% 1.61 —
26.0% 3.84 —

Away team goals

74.0% 1.35 —
39.0% 2.57 —

Both to score

46.1% 2.17 —

Corners

61.5% 1.63 —
49.9% 2.0 —
39.0% 2.57 —
29.2% 3.42 —
21.2% 4.71 —
50.1% 2.0 —
61.0% 1.64 —
70.8% 1.41 —
78.7% 1.27 —

Home corners

52.5% 1.9 —
36.2% 2.76 —
23.0% 4.34 —

Away corners

65.8% 1.52 —
50.6% 1.98 —
36.2% 2.76 —

Cards

79.4% 1.26 —
63.8% 1.57 —
47.6% 2.1 —
32.7% 3.06 —
36.2% 2.76 —
52.4% 1.91 —
67.3% 1.49 —

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