Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-12-13
Parma – Fiorentina
Home
27%
3.66 fair
Draw
28%
3.63 fair
Away
45%
2.22 fair
Expected Goals2.32
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.541%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
28.4%
→
27.3%
-1.1 pp
Draw
27.8%
→
27.6%
-0.2 pp
Away
43.8%
→
45.1%
+1.3 pp
Over 2.5
38.8%
→
41.1%
+2.3 pp
Both teams to score
44.1%
→
46.1%
+2.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.23 →
2.32
+0.09
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 17.9% | 5.59 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.22 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — |
Both halves
| 4.8% | 21.05 | — |
HT/FT
| 11.9% | 8.4 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.25 | — | |||
| 13.5% | 7.39 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.37 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.29 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 19.92 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.4 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — |
Total goals
| 90.1% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.9 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — |
1st-half goals
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.06 | — |
Home team goals
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — |
Both to score
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — |
Corners
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.71 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — |
Home corners
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.34 | — |
Away corners
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — |
Cards
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds