Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-12-13
Napoli – Milan
Home
41%
2.42 fair
Draw
27%
3.76 fair
Away
32%
3.12 fair
Expected Goals2.56
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.547%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
43.1%
→
41.3%
-1.8 pp
Draw
27.7%
→
26.6%
-1.0 pp
Away
29.2%
→
32.1%
+2.8 pp
Over 2.5
43.7%
→
47.0%
+3.3 pp
Both teams to score
49.2%
→
51.8%
+2.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.44 →
2.56
+0.12
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.56 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — |
Both halves
| 10.8% | 9.22 | — |
HT/FT
| 25.1% | 3.98 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.73 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.95 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 5.97 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.29 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.64 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.29 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — |
Total goals
| 92.1% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.6 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — |
Home team goals
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — |
Away team goals
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — |
Both to score
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — |
Corners
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.62 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.03 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — |
Home corners
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — |
Away corners
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.02 | — |
Cards
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.83 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds