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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-12-13

Lazio – Roma

Home 29% 3.49 fair
Draw 27% 3.75 fair
Away 45% 2.24 fair
Expected Goals2.5
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.545%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 27.0% → 28.6% +1.6 pp
Draw 27.9% → 26.7% -1.3 pp
Away 45.1% → 44.7% -0.3 pp
Over 2.5 39.7% → 45.4% +5.7 pp
Both teams to score 45.1% → 50.4% +5.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.27 → 2.5 +0.23
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.5
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.52 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.91 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

28.6% 3.49 —
26.7% 3.75 —
44.7% 2.24 —
55.3% 1.81 —
71.4% 1.4 —
73.4% 1.36 —

Half-time result

19.2% 5.21 —
47.0% 2.13 —
33.8% 2.96 —

Half-time double chance

66.2% 1.51 —
80.8% 1.24 —
53.0% 1.89 —

Both halves

5.3% 18.76 —

HT/FT

13.2% 7.6 —
4.2% 24.1 —
13.1% 7.63 —
17.0% 5.89 —
16.9% 5.93 —
5.5% 18.18 —
26.0% 3.85 —

HT/FT double chance

47.4% 2.11 —
45.0% 2.22 —
39.9% 2.51 —
25.2% 3.97 —
43.4% 2.31 —
37.5% 2.67 —
38.0% 2.63 —
58.3% 1.72 —
65.3% 1.53 —

Total goals

91.9% 1.09 —
71.2% 1.4 —
45.4% 2.2 —
24.1% 4.15 —
28.8% 3.48 —
54.6% 1.83 —
75.9% 1.32 —

1st-half goals

62.1% 1.61 —
25.4% 3.94 —

Home team goals

66.2% 1.51 —
29.4% 3.4 —

Away team goals

76.1% 1.31 —
41.3% 2.42 —

Both to score

50.4% 1.98 —

Corners

58.0% 1.72 —
46.7% 2.14 —
35.7% 2.8 —
26.4% 3.79 —
19.1% 5.24 —
53.3% 1.88 —
64.3% 1.55 —
73.6% 1.36 —
80.9% 1.24 —

Home corners

54.8% 1.82 —
38.5% 2.6 —
25.1% 3.98 —

Away corners

59.8% 1.67 —
43.9% 2.28 —
29.9% 3.35 —

Cards

89.4% 1.12 —
78.9% 1.27 —
65.3% 1.53 —
51.5% 1.94 —
21.1% 4.74 —
34.6% 2.89 —
48.5% 2.06 —

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