Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-12-13
Porto – Estrela
Home
82%
1.22 fair
Draw
13%
7.81 fair
Away
5%
18.45 fair
Expected Goals3.16
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score38%
Over 2.561%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
80.8%
→
81.8%
+1.0 pp
Draw
13.3%
→
12.8%
-0.5 pp
Away
6.0%
→
5.4%
-0.6 pp
Over 2.5
58.9%
→
60.8%
+2.0 pp
Both teams to score
38.0%
→
38.0%
+0.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.05 →
3.16
+0.11
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.81 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.45 | — | |||
| 94.6% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.49 | — | |||
| 87.2% | 1.15 | — |
Half-time result
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.2 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 93.4% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — |
Both halves
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — |
HT/FT
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.4 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 11.98 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 90.3% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 82.6% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.17 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 7.3% | 13.76 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.56 | — |
Total goals
| 95.5% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 82.2% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.63 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — |
Home team goals
| 92.5% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
Away team goals
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 9.9% | 10.1 | — |
Both to score
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — |
Corners
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — |
Home corners
| 89.0% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — |
Away corners
| 30.6% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.91 | — | |||
| 8.6% | 11.66 | — |
Cards
| 86.3% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.87 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds