Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-12-13

Moreirense – Famalicao

Home 30% 3.36 fair
Draw 29% 3.45 fair
Away 41% 2.42 fair
Expected Goals2.2
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.538%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 29.0% → 29.8% +0.8 pp
Draw 28.8% → 29.0% +0.2 pp
Away 42.2% → 41.2% -1.0 pp
Over 2.5 37.0% → 37.6% +0.7 pp
Both teams to score 43.1% → 44.1% +1.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.18 → 2.2 +0.02
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.08 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.43 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

29.8% 3.36 —
29.0% 3.45 —
41.2% 2.42 —
58.8% 1.7 —
70.2% 1.42 —
71.0% 1.41 —

Half-time result

24.6% 4.07 —
51.2% 1.95 —
24.2% 4.13 —

Half-time double chance

75.8% 1.32 —
75.5% 1.33 —
48.8% 2.05 —

Both halves

5.6% 17.83 —

HT/FT

16.3% 6.13 —
5.6% 17.99 —
12.3% 8.14 —
19.8% 5.06 —
19.2% 5.22 —
3.7% 27.32 —
19.4% 5.15 —

HT/FT double chance

53.9% 1.85 —
50.4% 1.98 —
47.2% 2.12 —
26.7% 3.74 —
39.6% 2.53 —
31.3% 3.19 —
36.9% 2.71 —
52.0% 1.92 —
62.0% 1.61 —

Total goals

89.1% 1.12 —
64.5% 1.55 —
37.6% 2.66 —
18.0% 5.55 —
35.5% 2.82 —
62.4% 1.6 —
82.0% 1.22 —

1st-half goals

56.5% 1.77 —
20.4% 4.9 —

Home team goals

62.6% 1.6 —
26.1% 3.83 —

Away team goals

70.7% 1.42 —
33.9% 2.95 —

Both to score

44.1% 2.27 —

Corners

64.6% 1.55 —
53.1% 1.88 —
41.7% 2.4 —
32.1% 3.12 —
23.7% 4.22 —
46.9% 2.13 —
58.3% 1.72 —
67.9% 1.47 —
76.3% 1.31 —

Home corners

57.1% 1.75 —
40.3% 2.48 —
26.3% 3.8 —

Away corners

66.6% 1.5 —
50.7% 1.97 —
36.4% 2.74 —

Cards

84.4% 1.18 —
71.6% 1.4 —
57.8% 1.73 —
44.0% 2.27 —
28.4% 3.52 —
42.2% 2.37 —
56.0% 1.79 —

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