Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-12-13
Guimaraes – Alverca
Home
45%
2.23 fair
Draw
28%
3.61 fair
Away
27%
3.65 fair
Expected Goals2.35
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.542%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
42.8%
→
44.9%
+2.1 pp
Draw
27.3%
→
27.7%
+0.4 pp
Away
29.8%
→
27.4%
-2.4 pp
Over 2.5
44.0%
→
41.8%
-2.2 pp
Both teams to score
49.4%
→
47.0%
-2.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.44 →
2.35
-0.09
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.71 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — |
Both halves
| 11.3% | 8.82 | — |
HT/FT
| 23.3% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.2 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.25 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.38 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.38 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.92 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.19 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — |
Total goals
| 90.4% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.77 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — |
1st-half goals
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | — |
Home team goals
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — |
Away team goals
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — |
Both to score
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — |
Corners
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — |
Home corners
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — |
Away corners
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.67 | — |
Cards
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds