Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-12-13
Casa Pia – Nacional
Home
35%
2.87 fair
Draw
29%
3.43 fair
Away
36%
2.78 fair
Expected Goals2.2
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.538%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
35.5%
→
34.9%
-0.6 pp
Draw
28.1%
→
29.2%
+1.1 pp
Away
36.4%
→
36.0%
-0.4 pp
Over 2.5
40.8%
→
37.9%
-2.8 pp
Both teams to score
47.3%
→
44.4%
-2.9 pp
Expected Goals
2.32 →
2.2
-0.12
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — |
Half-time result
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — |
Both halves
| 7.5% | 13.35 | — |
HT/FT
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.1 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.33 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.11 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.71 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.59 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.31 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — |
Total goals
| 88.6% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.53 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 81.9% | 1.22 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — |
Home team goals
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — |
Away team goals
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — |
Both to score
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — |
Corners
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — |
Home corners
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — |
Away corners
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — |
Cards
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds