Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-12-13
Lyon – Marseille
Home
43%
2.35 fair
Draw
23%
4.33 fair
Away
34%
2.91 fair
Expected Goals3.21
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.562%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
45.9%
→
42.6%
-3.3 pp
Draw
22.8%
→
23.1%
+0.4 pp
Away
31.4%
→
34.3%
+2.9 pp
Over 2.5
61.9%
→
62.0%
+0.0 pp
Both teams to score
62.6%
→
63.7%
+1.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.18 →
3.21
+0.03
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.33 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 29.2% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.59 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — |
Both halves
| 11.7% | 8.57 | — |
HT/FT
| 21.9% | 4.58 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.79 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.84 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.83 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.63 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.62 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.08 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.35 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — |
Total goals
| 96.0% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.0% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.88 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — |
1st-half goals
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — |
Home team goals
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — |
Away team goals
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — |
Both to score
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — |
Corners
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — |
Away corners
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — |
Cards
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds