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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-12-13

Mallorca – Burgos

Home 49% 2.03 fair
Draw 34% 2.9 fair
Away 16% 6.14 fair
Expected Goals1.52
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score25%
Over 2.519%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 53.1% → 49.2% -3.9 pp
Draw 34.7% → 34.5% -0.2 pp
Away 12.2% → 16.3% +4.1 pp
Over 2.5 15.8% → 19.4% +3.7 pp
Both teams to score 18.2% → 24.8% +6.6 pp
Expected Goals 1.37 → 1.52 +0.15
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.52
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.17 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.17 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

49.2% 2.03 —
34.5% 2.9 —
16.3% 6.14 —
83.7% 1.19 —
50.7% 1.97 —
65.5% 1.53 —

Half-time result

32.6% 3.07 —
58.9% 1.7 —
8.6% 11.67 —

Half-time double chance

91.4% 1.09 —
67.5% 1.48 —
41.1% 2.43 —

Both halves

11.3% 8.88 —

HT/FT

27.7% 3.61 —
4.2% 23.64 —
20.8% 4.8 —
28.1% 3.56 —
10.0% 10.03 —
5.7% 17.54 —

HT/FT double chance

80.9% 1.24 —
59.1% 1.69 —
42.9% 2.33 —
34.8% 2.87 —
34.7% 2.88 —
12.7% 7.89 —
51.8% 1.93 —
37.2% 2.69 —
45.9% 2.18 —

Total goals

78.2% 1.28 —
45.0% 2.22 —
19.4% 5.14 —
6.7% 14.99 —
55.0% 1.82 —
80.5% 1.24 —
93.3% 1.07 —

1st-half goals

44.5% 2.25 —
11.7% 8.57 —

Home team goals

65.1% 1.54 —
27.9% 3.58 —

Away team goals

38.0% 2.63 —
8.0% 12.58 —

Both to score

24.8% 4.03 —

Corners

65.7% 1.52 —
54.3% 1.84 —
43.0% 2.33 —
32.7% 3.06 —
23.7% 4.22 —
45.7% 2.19 —
57.0% 1.75 —
67.3% 1.49 —
76.3% 1.31 —

Home corners

76.9% 1.3 —
63.3% 1.58 —
48.9% 2.04 —

Away corners

44.3% 2.26 —
27.4% 3.65 —
15.9% 6.31 —

Cards

85.5% 1.17 —
72.3% 1.38 —
55.9% 1.79 —
40.6% 2.46 —
27.7% 3.61 —
44.1% 2.27 —
59.4% 1.68 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds