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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-12-13

Leganes – Ceuta

Home 51% 1.96 fair
Draw 26% 3.86 fair
Away 23% 4.32 fair
Expected Goals2.45
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.544%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 48.4% → 51.0% +2.6 pp
Draw 27.0% → 25.9% -1.1 pp
Away 24.6% → 23.2% -1.5 pp
Over 2.5 41.4% → 44.0% +2.7 pp
Both teams to score 46.1% → 47.2% +1.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.34 → 2.45 +0.11
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.45
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.04 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.66 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

51.0% 1.96 —
25.9% 3.86 —
23.2% 4.32 —
76.8% 1.3 —
49.0% 2.04 —
74.1% 1.35 —

Half-time result

31.0% 3.23 —
45.4% 2.21 —
23.7% 4.22 —

Half-time double chance

76.3% 1.31 —
69.0% 1.45 —
54.6% 1.83 —

Both halves

14.4% 6.95 —

HT/FT

26.6% 3.76 —
3.5% 28.74 —
20.8% 4.8 —
16.5% 6.07 —
8.0% 12.44 —
3.5% 28.57 —
5.9% 16.86 —
14.3% 7.01 —

HT/FT double chance

67.4% 1.48 —
56.4% 1.77 —
28.8% 3.47 —
39.6% 2.53 —
45.2% 2.21 —
24.5% 4.08 —
46.7% 2.14 —
46.6% 2.14 —
44.7% 2.24 —

Total goals

91.5% 1.09 —
70.0% 1.43 —
44.0% 2.27 —
23.2% 4.3 —
30.0% 3.34 —
56.0% 1.79 —
76.8% 1.3 —

1st-half goals

64.5% 1.55 —
27.5% 3.63 —

Home team goals

77.9% 1.28 —
44.6% 2.24 —

Away team goals

60.8% 1.65 —
23.7% 4.22 —

Both to score

47.2% 2.12 —

Corners

64.4% 1.55 —
52.8% 1.89 —
41.5% 2.41 —
31.2% 3.21 —
22.8% 4.39 —
47.2% 2.12 —
58.5% 1.71 —
68.8% 1.45 —
77.2% 1.29 —

Home corners

65.8% 1.52 —
49.2% 2.03 —
34.5% 2.9 —

Away corners

58.5% 1.71 —
41.4% 2.41 —
27.3% 3.66 —

Cards

88.8% 1.13 —
77.0% 1.3 —
62.6% 1.6 —
47.8% 2.09 —
23.0% 4.34 —
37.4% 2.67 —
52.2% 1.92 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds