Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-13
Villarreal – Vallecano
Home
61%
1.65 fair
Draw
22%
4.64 fair
Away
18%
5.66 fair
Expected Goals2.87
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.555%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
61.1%
→
60.8%
-0.3 pp
Draw
21.2%
→
21.6%
+0.4 pp
Away
17.7%
→
17.7%
-0.0 pp
Over 2.5
56.4%
→
54.7%
-1.6 pp
Both teams to score
52.9%
→
51.7%
-1.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.94 →
2.87
-0.07
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.64 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.66 | — | |||
| 82.3% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 45.8% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.34 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — |
Both halves
| 21.8% | 4.59 | — |
HT/FT
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.46 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.95 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.7 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.36 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.79 | — | |||
| 11.0% | 9.07 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.88 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — |
Total goals
| 94.3% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.53 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — |
1st-half goals
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — |
Home team goals
| 85.5% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — |
Away team goals
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.14 | — |
Both to score
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — |
Corners
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — |
Home corners
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — |
Away corners
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — |
Cards
| 84.6% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds