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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-13

Real Madrid – Osasuna

Home 79% 1.27 fair
Draw 14% 7.06 fair
Away 7% 13.83 fair
Expected Goals3.27
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.563%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 77.2% → 78.6% +1.4 pp
Draw 14.7% → 14.2% -0.6 pp
Away 8.0% → 7.2% -0.8 pp
Over 2.5 63.9% → 63.0% -0.8 pp
Both teams to score 46.8% → 44.9% -1.9 pp
Expected Goals 3.3 → 3.27 -0.03
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.27
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.76 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.99 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

78.6% 1.27 —
14.2% 7.06 —
7.2% 13.83 —
92.8% 1.08 —
21.4% 4.67 —
85.8% 1.17 —

Half-time result

55.9% 1.79 —
35.3% 2.83 —
8.8% 11.35 —

Half-time double chance

91.2% 1.1 —
44.1% 2.27 —
64.7% 1.55 —

Both halves

36.6% 2.73 —

HT/FT

52.4% 1.91 —
23.3% 4.29 —
8.7% 11.52 —
3.3% 30.21 —
3.4% 29.59 —

HT/FT double chance

87.3% 1.14 —
79.5% 1.26 —
15.5% 6.44 —
60.8% 1.65 —
59.2% 1.69 —
9.4% 10.63 —
37.4% 2.67 —
32.9% 3.04 —
17.9% 5.6 —

Total goals

96.2% 1.04 —
83.4% 1.2 —
63.0% 1.59 —
41.4% 2.42 —
16.6% 6.01 —
37.0% 2.71 —
58.6% 1.71 —

1st-half goals

72.5% 1.38 —
37.9% 2.64 —

Home team goals

92.4% 1.08 —
73.0% 1.37 —

Away team goals

48.6% 2.06 —
14.3% 7.0 —

Both to score

44.9% 2.23 —

Corners

70.6% 1.42 —
60.0% 1.67 —
49.2% 2.03 —
38.9% 2.57 —
29.9% 3.34 —
40.0% 2.5 —
50.8% 1.97 —
61.1% 1.64 —
70.0% 1.43 —

Home corners

83.5% 1.2 —
72.3% 1.38 —
59.4% 1.68 —

Away corners

38.7% 2.59 —
23.0% 4.35 —
12.6% 7.97 —

Cards

81.1% 1.23 —
66.9% 1.5 —
51.6% 1.94 —
38.2% 2.62 —
33.1% 3.02 —
48.4% 2.06 —
61.8% 1.62 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds