Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-13
Malaga – Barcelona
Home
5%
21.69 fair
Draw
9%
10.83 fair
Away
86%
1.16 fair
Expected Goals3.86
Most Likely Score0-3
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.574%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
4.8%
→
4.6%
-0.2 pp
Draw
12.9%
→
9.2%
-3.7 pp
Away
82.3%
→
86.2%
+3.9 pp
Over 2.5
56.7%
→
73.7%
+17.0 pp
Both teams to score
34.2%
→
45.9%
+11.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.97 →
3.86
+0.89
Most Likely Score
0-2
→
0-3
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 4.6% | 21.69 | — | |||
| 9.2% | 10.83 | — | |||
| 86.2% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.23 | — | |||
| 95.4% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 90.8% | 1.1 | — |
Half-time result
| 5.9% | 16.92 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 27.7% | 3.62 | — | |||
| 94.1% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — |
HT/FT
| 5.2% | 19.12 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.84 | — | |||
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 11.1% | 9.0 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.83 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 6.7% | 14.88 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 9.9% | 10.13 | — | |||
| 86.6% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 91.8% | 1.09 | — |
Total goals
| 89.4% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 10.6% | 9.47 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — |
1st-half goals
| 86.1% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — |
Home team goals
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.27 | — |
Away team goals
| 95.9% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 82.7% | 1.21 | — |
Both to score
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — |
Corners
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.57 | — |
Home corners
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — |
Away corners
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — |
Cards
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 70.2% | 1.43 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds