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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-13

La Coruna – Ath Bilbao

Home 39% 2.54 fair
Draw 29% 3.5 fair
Away 32% 3.12 fair
Expected Goals2.22
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.538%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 43.1% → 39.4% -3.8 pp
Draw 25.1% → 28.6% +3.5 pp
Away 31.8% → 32.0% +0.3 pp
Over 2.5 51.6% → 38.1% -13.5 pp
Both teams to score 54.9% → 44.5% -10.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.73 → 2.22 -0.51
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.22
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.98 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.63 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

39.4% 2.54 —
28.6% 3.5 —
32.0% 3.12 —
68.0% 1.47 —
60.6% 1.65 —
71.4% 1.4 —

Half-time result

19.0% 5.25 —
50.1% 2.0 —
30.9% 3.24 —

Half-time double chance

69.1% 1.45 —
81.0% 1.24 —
49.9% 2.0 —

Both halves

8.0% 12.45 —

HT/FT

15.6% 6.4 —
20.2% 4.95 —
19.1% 5.25 —
10.8% 9.22 —
3.5% 28.17 —
6.9% 14.56 —
20.4% 4.89 —

HT/FT double chance

57.6% 1.74 —
47.4% 2.11 —
33.3% 3.0 —
28.7% 3.48 —
40.4% 2.48 —
30.7% 3.26 —
49.7% 2.01 —
55.0% 1.82 —
57.2% 1.75 —

Total goals

89.1% 1.12 —
65.0% 1.54 —
38.1% 2.63 —
18.5% 5.39 —
35.0% 2.86 —
61.9% 1.61 —
81.5% 1.23 —

1st-half goals

57.8% 1.73 —
21.1% 4.74 —

Home team goals

69.1% 1.45 —
33.3% 3.0 —

Away team goals

64.5% 1.55 —
27.7% 3.62 —

Both to score

44.5% 2.25 —

Corners

72.9% 1.37 —
62.4% 1.6 —
51.8% 1.93 —
41.4% 2.41 —
31.9% 3.14 —
37.6% 2.66 —
48.1% 2.08 —
58.6% 1.71 —
68.1% 1.47 —

Home corners

67.7% 1.48 —
52.1% 1.92 —
37.2% 2.69 —

Away corners

69.0% 1.45 —
53.4% 1.87 —
38.7% 2.59 —

Cards

78.1% 1.28 —
62.7% 1.59 —
46.7% 2.14 —
32.8% 3.05 —
37.3% 2.68 —
53.3% 1.87 —
67.2% 1.49 —

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