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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-13

Espanol – Celta

Home 37% 2.69 fair
Draw 28% 3.53 fair
Away 34% 2.9 fair
Expected Goals2.3
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.540%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 37.3% → 37.2% -0.2 pp
Draw 27.1% → 28.3% +1.3 pp
Away 35.6% → 34.5% -1.1 pp
Over 2.5 45.4% → 39.9% -5.5 pp
Both teams to score 50.8% → 46.6% -4.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.49 → 2.3 -0.19
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.3
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.39 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.96 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

37.2% 2.69 —
28.3% 3.53 —
34.5% 2.9 —
65.5% 1.53 —
62.8% 1.59 —
71.7% 1.4 —

Half-time result

26.0% 3.85 —
51.7% 1.93 —
22.3% 4.49 —

Half-time double chance

77.7% 1.29 —
74.0% 1.35 —
48.3% 2.07 —

Both halves

8.1% 12.3 —

HT/FT

18.9% 5.3 —
5.1% 19.65 —
16.6% 6.02 —
19.0% 5.25 —
16.1% 6.21 —
4.2% 23.81 —
16.4% 6.11 —

HT/FT double chance

59.6% 1.68 —
53.6% 1.87 —
42.2% 2.37 —
29.9% 3.35 —
39.0% 2.57 —
27.7% 3.61 —
41.5% 2.41 —
50.8% 1.97 —
55.7% 1.8 —

Total goals

90.0% 1.11 —
66.6% 1.5 —
39.9% 2.5 —
20.1% 4.98 —
33.4% 2.99 —
60.1% 1.66 —
79.9% 1.25 —

1st-half goals

56.2% 1.78 —
20.4% 4.9 —

Home team goals

69.2% 1.45 —
33.1% 3.03 —

Away team goals

67.5% 1.48 —
30.5% 3.27 —

Both to score

46.6% 2.15 —

Corners

57.2% 1.75 —
45.4% 2.21 —
34.5% 2.9 —
25.2% 3.97 —
17.5% 5.71 —
54.6% 1.83 —
65.5% 1.53 —
74.8% 1.34 —
82.5% 1.21 —

Home corners

61.6% 1.62 —
45.1% 2.21 —
30.6% 3.26 —

Away corners

52.4% 1.91 —
35.1% 2.85 —
21.8% 4.59 —

Cards

80.8% 1.24 —
66.8% 1.5 —
51.9% 1.93 —
37.7% 2.65 —
33.2% 3.01 —
48.1% 2.08 —
62.3% 1.61 —

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