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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-13

Elche – Sevilla

Home 45% 2.24 fair
Draw 25% 4.0 fair
Away 30% 3.29 fair
Expected Goals2.78
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 44.2% → 44.6% +0.4 pp
Draw 24.7% → 25.0% +0.3 pp
Away 31.0% → 30.4% -0.6 pp
Over 2.5 54.1% → 52.4% -1.8 pp
Both teams to score 57.1% → 55.1% -1.9 pp
Expected Goals 2.85 → 2.78 -0.07
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.78
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.39 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.4 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

44.6% 2.24 —
25.0% 4.0 —
30.4% 3.29 —
69.6% 1.44 —
55.4% 1.81 —
75.0% 1.33 —

Half-time result

32.3% 3.09 —
42.7% 2.34 —
25.0% 4.0 —

Half-time double chance

75.0% 1.33 —
67.7% 1.48 —
57.3% 1.74 —

Both halves

12.8% 7.82 —

HT/FT

25.4% 3.93 —
4.9% 20.53 —
16.4% 6.08 —
14.9% 6.71 —
11.3% 8.82 —
5.2% 19.16 —
17.1% 5.86 —

HT/FT double chance

61.7% 1.62 —
55.2% 1.81 —
33.1% 3.02 —
38.2% 2.61 —
47.2% 2.12 —
29.2% 3.43 —
39.3% 2.55 —
47.5% 2.1 —
48.5% 2.06 —

Total goals

93.6% 1.07 —
76.4% 1.31 —
52.4% 1.91 —
30.4% 3.29 —
23.6% 4.24 —
47.6% 2.1 —
69.6% 1.44 —

1st-half goals

68.3% 1.46 —
31.6% 3.17 —

Home team goals

78.4% 1.28 —
45.9% 2.18 —

Away team goals

70.4% 1.42 —
35.0% 2.85 —

Both to score

55.1% 1.81 —

Corners

57.5% 1.74 —
45.5% 2.2 —
34.5% 2.9 —
24.9% 4.01 —
17.4% 5.76 —
54.5% 1.83 —
65.5% 1.53 —
75.1% 1.33 —
82.6% 1.21 —

Home corners

61.5% 1.63 —
44.6% 2.24 —
30.3% 3.3 —

Away corners

52.7% 1.9 —
35.7% 2.8 —
22.5% 4.45 —

Cards

84.3% 1.19 —
71.9% 1.39 —
57.8% 1.73 —
43.7% 2.29 —
28.1% 3.56 —
42.2% 2.37 —
56.3% 1.78 —

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