Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-13
Ath Madrid – Valencia
Home
69%
1.46 fair
Draw
19%
5.21 fair
Away
12%
8.22 fair
Expected Goals2.77
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.552%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
68.4%
→
68.7%
+0.3 pp
Draw
19.0%
→
19.2%
+0.2 pp
Away
12.6%
→
12.2%
-0.4 pp
Over 2.5
55.8%
→
51.8%
-3.9 pp
Both teams to score
47.4%
→
44.2%
-3.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.9 →
2.77
-0.13
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.21 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.22 | — | |||
| 87.8% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 11.0% | 9.09 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 89.0% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — |
Both halves
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — |
HT/FT
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.24 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.87 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.16 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 32.79 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.49 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 12.4% | 8.04 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — |
Total goals
| 93.8% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — |
1st-half goals
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.77 | — |
Home team goals
| 86.9% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — |
Away team goals
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.21 | — |
Both to score
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — |
Corners
| 70.7% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — |
Home corners
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — |
Away corners
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.54 | — |
Cards
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds