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Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-12-13

Twente – Sparta Rotterdam

Home 68% 1.47 fair
Draw 18% 5.53 fair
Away 14% 7.28 fair
Expected Goals3.17
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.561%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 64.2% → 68.2% +3.9 pp
Draw 20.3% → 18.1% -2.2 pp
Away 15.5% → 13.7% -1.8 pp
Over 2.5 56.8% → 61.1% +4.3 pp
Both teams to score 51.9% → 53.1% +1.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.96 → 3.17 +0.21
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.17
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.22 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.61 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

68.2% 1.47 —
18.1% 5.53 —
13.7% 7.28 —
86.3% 1.16 —
31.8% 3.14 —
81.9% 1.22 —

Half-time result

45.0% 2.22 —
39.6% 2.52 —
15.3% 6.52 —

Half-time double chance

84.7% 1.18 —
55.0% 1.82 —
60.4% 1.66 —

Both halves

26.5% 3.78 —

HT/FT

40.5% 2.47 —
3.6% 27.7 —
23.5% 4.26 —
10.5% 9.55 —
5.7% 17.45 —
4.2% 23.64 —
4.0% 24.88 —
7.1% 14.12 —

HT/FT double chance

78.0% 1.28 —
70.6% 1.42 —
20.7% 4.83 —
52.3% 1.91 —
52.7% 1.9 —
15.6% 6.4 —
42.2% 2.37 —
40.5% 2.47 —
27.3% 3.66 —

Total goals

95.9% 1.04 —
82.2% 1.22 —
61.1% 1.64 —
39.1% 2.56 —
17.8% 5.63 —
38.9% 2.57 —
60.9% 1.64 —

1st-half goals

69.8% 1.43 —
33.7% 2.97 —

Home team goals

89.6% 1.12 —
65.7% 1.52 —

Away team goals

59.4% 1.68 —
22.5% 4.44 —

Both to score

53.1% 1.88 —

Corners

81.2% 1.23 —
72.8% 1.37 —
63.2% 1.58 —
53.3% 1.88 —
43.4% 2.3 —
27.3% 3.67 —
36.8% 2.72 —
46.7% 2.14 —
56.6% 1.77 —

Home corners

89.5% 1.12 —
80.9% 1.24 —
70.4% 1.42 —

Away corners

46.3% 2.16 —
29.6% 3.38 —
17.7% 5.64 —

Cards

64.7% 1.55 —
46.2% 2.17 —
30.3% 3.3 —
18.9% 5.29 —
53.8% 1.86 —
69.7% 1.44 —
81.1% 1.23 —

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