Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-12-13
AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen
Home
49%
2.06 fair
Draw
23%
4.35 fair
Away
28%
3.53 fair
Expected Goals3.18
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.562%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
50.2%
→
48.6%
-1.6 pp
Draw
22.1%
→
23.0%
+0.9 pp
Away
27.7%
→
28.4%
+0.7 pp
Over 2.5
62.6%
→
61.7%
-1.0 pp
Both teams to score
62.9%
→
61.9%
-1.0 pp
Expected Goals
3.24 →
3.18
-0.06
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.94 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — |
Both halves
| 15.7% | 6.37 | — |
HT/FT
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 6.8% | 14.73 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.21 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.35 | — | |||
| 11.4% | 8.76 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.7 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.13 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — |
Total goals
| 95.8% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 82.4% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.68 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — |
1st-half goals
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.7% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — |
Both to score
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — |
Corners
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — |
Home corners
| 81.0% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.83 | — |
Away corners
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — |
Cards
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.45 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds