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Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-12-13

Willem II – Den Haag

Home 21% 4.68 fair
Draw 21% 4.68 fair
Away 57% 1.75 fair
Expected Goals3.21
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.562%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 35.5% → 21.4% -14.1 pp
Draw 24.1% → 21.4% -2.7 pp
Away 40.4% → 57.2% +16.8 pp
Over 2.5 57.1% → 61.6% +4.5 pp
Both teams to score 59.4% → 60.0% +0.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.97 → 3.21 +0.24
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.21
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.85 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.09 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

21.4% 4.68 —
21.4% 4.68 —
57.2% 1.75 —
42.8% 2.34 —
78.6% 1.27 —
78.6% 1.27 —

Half-time result

29.0% 3.45 —
48.9% 2.05 —
22.1% 4.51 —

Half-time double chance

77.8% 1.28 —
71.0% 1.41 —
51.1% 1.96 —

Both halves

4.5% 22.22 —

HT/FT

13.3% 7.52 —
7.3% 13.74 —
8.4% 11.86 —
7.3% 13.61 —
12.0% 8.35 —
29.5% 3.39 —
19.3% 5.18 —

HT/FT double chance

39.9% 2.51 —
58.6% 1.71 —
57.2% 1.75 —
23.4% 4.27 —
41.8% 2.39 —
37.1% 2.69 —
22.2% 4.51 —
56.9% 1.76 —
62.9% 1.59 —

Total goals

96.0% 1.04 —
82.9% 1.21 —
61.6% 1.62 —
40.3% 2.48 —
17.1% 5.83 —
38.4% 2.61 —
59.7% 1.67 —

1st-half goals

59.6% 1.68 —
22.7% 4.4 —

Home team goals

69.2% 1.45 —
32.7% 3.06 —

Away team goals

86.9% 1.15 —
59.9% 1.67 —

Both to score

60.0% 1.67 —

Corners

71.4% 1.4 —
61.2% 1.63 —
50.4% 1.98 —
40.2% 2.49 —
30.8% 3.25 —
38.8% 2.58 —
49.6% 2.02 —
59.8% 1.67 —
69.2% 1.44 —

Home corners

71.0% 1.41 —
55.4% 1.81 —
40.9% 2.45 —

Away corners

63.8% 1.57 —
47.9% 2.09 —
33.0% 3.03 —

Cards

55.8% 1.79 —
36.8% 2.72 —
22.4% 4.47 —
12.5% 7.99 —
63.2% 1.58 —
77.6% 1.29 —
87.5% 1.14 —

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