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Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-12-13

PSV Eindhoven – Telstar

Home 82% 1.22 fair
Draw 11% 9.26 fair
Away 7% 13.51 fair
Expected Goals4.57
Most Likely Score3-1
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.583%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 82.4% → 81.8% -0.6 pp
Draw 10.5% → 10.8% +0.3 pp
Away 7.1% → 7.4% +0.3 pp
Over 2.5 79.5% → 83.3% +3.8 pp
Both teams to score 58.2% → 64.0% +5.8 pp
Expected Goals 4.24 → 4.57 +0.33
Most Likely Score 3-0 → 3-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 4.57
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.7 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.34 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

81.8% 1.22 —
10.8% 9.26 —
7.4% 13.51 —
92.6% 1.08 —
18.2% 5.49 —
89.2% 1.12 —

Half-time result

68.2% 1.47 —
21.3% 4.69 —
10.5% 9.51 —

Half-time double chance

89.5% 1.12 —
31.8% 3.14 —
78.7% 1.27 —

Both halves

44.2% 2.26 —

HT/FT

64.4% 1.55 —
3.0% 33.0 —
14.0% 7.15 —
5.0% 20.2 —
3.4% 29.15 —
4.2% 23.53 —

HT/FT double chance

86.4% 1.16 —
81.5% 1.23 —
11.1% 8.98 —
73.7% 1.36 —
72.8% 1.37 —
10.9% 9.21 —
25.2% 3.97 —
24.1% 4.16 —
14.4% 6.94 —

Total goals

94.1% 1.06 —
83.3% 1.2 —
66.6% 1.5 —
5.9% 17.01 —
16.7% 5.98 —
33.4% 3.0 —

1st-half goals

90.6% 1.1 —
68.2% 1.47 —

Home team goals

96.9% 1.03 —
86.4% 1.16 —

Away team goals

66.1% 1.51 —
29.6% 3.37 —

Both to score

64.0% 1.56 —

Corners

83.6% 1.2 —
75.8% 1.32 —
66.8% 1.5 —
57.0% 1.75 —
48.1% 2.08 —
24.2% 4.13 —
33.2% 3.01 —
43.0% 2.33 —
51.9% 1.93 —

Home corners

92.7% 1.08 —
86.4% 1.16 —
77.6% 1.29 —

Away corners

38.7% 2.59 —
22.7% 4.4 —
12.7% 7.89 —

Cards

60.8% 1.65 —
41.4% 2.41 —
26.2% 3.82 —
15.2% 6.56 —
58.6% 1.71 —
73.9% 1.35 —
84.8% 1.18 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds