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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-12

Sudtirol – Verona

Home 32% 3.17 fair
Draw 26% 3.87 fair
Away 43% 2.35 fair
Expected Goals2.67
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.550%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 49.3% → 31.5% -17.8 pp
Draw 21.4% → 25.9% +4.5 pp
Away 29.3% → 42.6% +13.3 pp
Over 2.5 67.6% → 49.7% -17.9 pp
Both teams to score 66.5% → 54.0% -12.5 pp
Expected Goals 3.48 → 2.67 -0.81
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.67
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.04 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.44 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

31.5% 3.17 —
25.9% 3.87 —
42.6% 2.35 —
57.4% 1.74 —
68.5% 1.46 —
74.1% 1.35 —

Half-time result

15.8% 6.34 —
43.9% 2.28 —
40.3% 2.48 —

Half-time double chance

59.7% 1.68 —
84.2% 1.19 —
56.1% 1.78 —

Both halves

5.7% 17.54 —

HT/FT

11.8% 8.46 —
15.8% 6.31 —
15.5% 6.45 —
12.6% 7.97 —
3.9% 25.91 —
7.6% 13.23 —
28.9% 3.46 —

HT/FT double chance

46.0% 2.18 —
41.3% 2.42 —
32.0% 3.12 —
26.1% 3.84 —
45.7% 2.19 —
40.4% 2.47 —
42.8% 2.34 —
61.2% 1.63 —
64.5% 1.55 —

Total goals

92.8% 1.08 —
74.4% 1.34 —
49.7% 2.01 —
28.0% 3.57 —
25.6% 3.91 —
50.3% 1.99 —
72.0% 1.39 —

1st-half goals

65.1% 1.54 —
28.2% 3.55 —

Home team goals

70.2% 1.42 —
34.2% 2.93 —

Away team goals

76.5% 1.31 —
42.5% 2.35 —

Both to score

54.0% 1.85 —

Corners

64.6% 1.55 —
53.1% 1.88 —
41.4% 2.41 —
31.5% 3.17 —
23.2% 4.31 —
46.9% 2.13 —
58.6% 1.71 —
68.5% 1.46 —
76.8% 1.3 —

Home corners

56.5% 1.77 —
39.2% 2.55 —
25.5% 3.93 —

Away corners

67.7% 1.48 —
51.6% 1.94 —
36.8% 2.72 —

Cards

78.6% 1.27 —
61.9% 1.61 —
44.7% 2.24 —
29.5% 3.39 —
38.1% 2.63 —
55.3% 1.81 —
70.5% 1.42 —

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