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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-12

Pisa – Ascoli

Home 38% 2.64 fair
Draw 28% 3.63 fair
Away 35% 2.89 fair
Expected Goals2.38
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.542%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 45.8% → 37.8% -7.9 pp
Draw 29.1% → 27.6% -1.6 pp
Away 25.1% → 34.6% +9.5 pp
Over 2.5 37.1% → 42.1% +5.0 pp
Both teams to score 42.8% → 48.4% +5.7 pp
Expected Goals 2.17 → 2.38 +0.21
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.38
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.64 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.33 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

37.8% 2.64 —
27.6% 3.63 —
34.6% 2.89 —
65.4% 1.53 —
62.2% 1.61 —
72.4% 1.38 —

Half-time result

31.2% 3.21 —
44.3% 2.26 —
24.5% 4.07 —

Half-time double chance

75.5% 1.33 —
68.8% 1.45 —
55.7% 1.8 —

Both halves

9.3% 10.73 —

HT/FT

23.4% 4.27 —
5.7% 17.57 —
13.0% 7.69 —
17.5% 5.72 —
13.8% 7.25 —
4.4% 22.78 —
18.7% 5.34 —

HT/FT double chance

59.6% 1.68 —
52.3% 1.91 —
39.1% 2.56 —
34.9% 2.86 —
45.6% 2.19 —
30.9% 3.24 —
36.3% 2.75 —
47.0% 2.13 —
54.4% 1.84 —

Total goals

91.1% 1.1 —
69.0% 1.45 —
42.1% 2.37 —
21.3% 4.7 —
31.0% 3.23 —
57.9% 1.73 —
78.7% 1.27 —

1st-half goals

66.5% 1.5 —
29.8% 3.36 —

Home team goals

70.7% 1.42 —
34.8% 2.87 —

Away team goals

68.9% 1.45 —
32.0% 3.13 —

Both to score

48.4% 2.06 —

Corners

69.8% 1.43 —
59.0% 1.69 —
48.2% 2.08 —
37.7% 2.65 —
28.5% 3.51 —
41.0% 2.44 —
51.8% 1.93 —
62.3% 1.6 —
71.5% 1.4 —

Home corners

68.1% 1.47 —
52.5% 1.9 —
37.9% 2.64 —

Away corners

64.5% 1.55 —
48.1% 2.08 —
33.1% 3.02 —

Cards

87.0% 1.15 —
74.6% 1.34 —
59.3% 1.69 —
43.8% 2.29 —
25.4% 3.93 —
40.7% 2.46 —
56.2% 1.78 —

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