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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-12

Mantova – Benevento

Home 37% 2.73 fair
Draw 28% 3.56 fair
Away 35% 2.84 fair
Expected Goals2.36
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.542%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 38.2% → 36.7% -1.5 pp
Draw 27.4% → 28.1% +0.7 pp
Away 34.4% → 35.2% +0.8 pp
Over 2.5 42.7% → 42.2% -0.5 pp
Both teams to score 48.7% → 48.0% -0.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.39 → 2.36 -0.03
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.36
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.47 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.69 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

36.7% 2.73 —
28.1% 3.56 —
35.2% 2.84 —
64.8% 1.54 —
63.3% 1.58 —
71.9% 1.39 —

Half-time result

18.8% 5.32 —
54.9% 1.82 —
26.3% 3.81 —

Half-time double chance

73.7% 1.36 —
81.2% 1.23 —
45.1% 2.22 —

Both halves

6.9% 14.49 —

HT/FT

13.9% 7.2 —
3.5% 28.82 —
20.0% 5.01 —
19.1% 5.24 —
15.9% 6.3 —
5.5% 18.15 —
17.9% 5.58 —

HT/FT double chance

56.4% 1.77 —
51.1% 1.96 —
39.9% 2.51 —
25.7% 3.89 —
36.1% 2.77 —
28.3% 3.53 —
47.4% 2.11 —
56.6% 1.77 —
58.4% 1.71 —

Total goals

90.7% 1.1 —
68.0% 1.47 —
42.2% 2.37 —
21.4% 4.68 —
31.9% 3.13 —
57.8% 1.73 —
78.6% 1.27 —

1st-half goals

51.4% 1.94 —
16.3% 6.14 —

Home team goals

69.9% 1.43 —
33.9% 2.95 —

Away team goals

68.8% 1.45 —
32.3% 3.1 —

Both to score

48.0% 2.08 —

Corners

68.7% 1.46 —
57.3% 1.74 —
46.5% 2.15 —
35.6% 2.81 —
26.5% 3.77 —
42.7% 2.34 —
53.5% 1.87 —
64.4% 1.55 —
73.5% 1.36 —

Home corners

64.3% 1.56 —
47.9% 2.09 —
33.2% 3.01 —

Away corners

66.2% 1.51 —
50.0% 2.0 —
35.1% 2.85 —

Cards

89.3% 1.12 —
78.1% 1.28 —
63.8% 1.57 —
48.6% 2.06 —
21.9% 4.58 —
36.2% 2.76 —
51.3% 1.95 —

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